Future mobility demand in Switzerland

The Institute of Sustainable Development (INE in German) of the Zurich University of Applied Sciences participates in the Swiss funded project SCCER-Mobility. In the framework of this project INE will carry out a trend analysis of the future development of mobility in Switzerland including factors that have an influence on this development. The trend analysis will take into account data regarding historical series as well as existing prognosis. One examples of this prognosis are shown in the two figures below.

The Swiss Federal Office for Spatial Development (ARE in German) published in 2013 a report showing the result of an own estimation for the mobility patterns in Switzerland in 2030 in comparison with 2005. Thus, looking at the mobility demand, the prognosis states that the daily number of trips per person might increase by 26% in 2030 compared to 2005 in a middle scenario and by 38.3% in a high scenario. Moreover, daily travel distance might also increase between 7.4% and 7.1% depending on the scenario.

Therefore, a higher mobility demand is expected in future in Switzerland. This might imply higher energy consumption, environmental impacts as well as further transport costs.

Prognose mobility patterns

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