{"id":2757,"date":"2019-05-06T19:44:36","date_gmt":"2019-05-06T17:44:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/?p=2757"},"modified":"2019-05-06T19:44:36","modified_gmt":"2019-05-06T17:44:36","slug":"research-agenda-for-the-future-transport-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/research-agenda-for-the-future-transport-system\/","title":{"rendered":"Research agenda for the future transport system"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>The mobility system is about to change in a fundamental way. Technological innovation, political decisions and new mobility concepts as well as social and economic trends lead to a system transformation. As the future transport system will differ from today, research has to be adapted to upcoming requirements of this new system. Therefore, the overall aim of the INTEND project was to provide a new and holistic research agenda for future EU transport research.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The research approach pursued in this research project included the following main work steps and methods: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Desk research and experts consultation on trends in mobility and transport to identify potential future game changers.<\/li><li> Formulating hypotheses on the evolutionary development of the transport system and verification in an online survey with European transport-related experts.<\/li><li>Developing a sketch of the future transport system.<\/li><li>Elaborating a transport research agenda with guidelines and research priorities for future EU transport research.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sketch of the future transport system<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Summarizing results of the trend analysis in mobility and transport as well as the perspectives of experts on the future of mobility, we developed a sketch of the future transport system that will be fundamentally different from the current system state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2762\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-1024x624.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-768x468.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-860x524.png 860w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-1200x731.png 1200w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2-1600x974.png 1600w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Future-Mobility-System_v2.png 1777w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key findings:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Autonomous driving technologies are expected to dominate the future transport system with an implementation first in cargo\/freight applications and in urban rather than in rural areas.<\/li><li>Fundamental changes are expected in engine technologies by electrification of conventional drivetrains.<\/li><li>IT-based solutions are expected to enable intermodality, shared mobility and MaaS services on a large-scale.<\/li><li>Little potential is seen in revolutionary concepts (e.g. Hyperloop One).<\/li><li>Drones are considered as a niche technology, which will rather be implemented in cargo\/freight transportation than in passenger transportation.<\/li><li>Adaption of regulatory frameworks for emerging technologies (e.g. autonomous vehicles) is currently missing.<\/li><li>Internalisation of externalities will be crucial for a sustainable transport system.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Future transport research agenda<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the sketch of the future transport system as well as identified gaps and blind spots in today\u2019s perspective on what is relevant for the future mobility system, we developed a research agenda with relevant future research fields on four dimensions with different time horizons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"568\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-1024x568.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2764\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-1024x568.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-768x426.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-860x477.png 860w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-1200x666.png 1200w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4-1600x888.png 1600w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/INTEND_Research-Agenda_D4.3-v4.png 2032w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key findings:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Potential rebound effects of technological innovations &#8211; especially with regard to emerging technologies (e.g. autonomous vehicles) and new mobility services &#8211; need to be considered and prevented.<\/li><li>An energy system transformation is needed with 100% substitution of fossil through renewable energies.<\/li><li>A growth-critical thinking is needed to relieve the resource system, thus recent paradigms considering growth as precondition for competitiveness and wealth need to be replaced by new and sufficient concepts.<\/li><li>A cultural turn in transport system development is needed with a shift from quantity of mobility towards quality.<\/li><li>To enable disruptive and innovative solutions, bottom-up research needs to be promoted (instead of top-down strategies for research).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mce_29\">Conclusions<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Shaping the transformation of the transport system to cope with the predicted trends and developments will be the main issue in the future.<\/li><li>R&amp;D will play a key role, as it is crucial in analysing and understanding the problems, developing solutions as well as enabling transformation.<\/li><li>Funding for R&amp;D is the political instrument of directing innovation to induce a fundamental transformation of the prevailing system.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Publications<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Linkt to Deliverables, Papers and Presentations:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/intend-project.eu\/publications\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\" (opens in a new tab)\">https:\/\/intend-project.eu\/publications\/<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Link to Whitepaper on Researchgate: <\/strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/329322189_Future_transport_research_agenda_Guidelines_for_a_forward_looking_transport_sector (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/329322189_Future_transport_research_agenda_Guidelines_for_a_forward_looking_transport_sector\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/329322189_Future_transport_research_agenda_Guidelines_for_a_forward_looking_transport_sector<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Project partners<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"123\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-1024x123.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2774\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-1024x123.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-300x36.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-768x92.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-860x103.jpg 860w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-1200x144.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner-1600x192.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/Projektpartner.jpg 1764w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\" class=\"has-small-font-size\"><em>This project has received funding from the European Union\u2018s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 769638.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/files\/2019\/05\/EU.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2766\" width=\"48\" height=\"35\" \/><figcaption> <br><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n<div class=\"pt-sm\">Schlagw\u00f6rter: <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/tag\/european-union\/\">European Union<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/tag\/foresight\/\">Foresight<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/tag\/future-transport-system\/\">Future Transport System<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/tag\/h2020\/\">H2020<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/tag\/research-agenda\/\">Research Agenda<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/tag\/trends\/\">Trends<\/a><br><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The mobility system is about to change in a fundamental way. Technological innovation, political decisions and new mobility concepts as well as social and economic trends lead to a system transformation. As the future transport system will differ from today, research has to be adapted to upcoming requirements of this new system. Therefore, the overall [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":359,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[107],"tags":[116,47,113,111,115,70],"features":[],"class_list":["post-2757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-intend","tag-european-union","tag-foresight","tag-future-transport-system","tag-h2020","tag-research-agenda","tag-trends"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Research agenda for the future transport system - MobINE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.zhaw.ch\/mobine\/research-agenda-for-the-future-transport-system\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Research agenda for the future transport system\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The mobility system is about to change in a fundamental way. 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